Staines, David

David Staines
Start date:
October 2012
Research Topic:
Austerity, Stimulus and Inflation in a Low Interest Rate Environment
Research pathway:
Research Supervisor:
Professor Huw Dixon (primary), Professor Patrick Minford, Professor James Foreman-Peck (secondary supervisors)
Supervising school:
Cardiff Business School,
Primary funding source:
ESRC Studentship

Across major Western economics interest rates have been at historic lows since the financial crisis of 2008. This has rightly motivated a great deal of research into theoretical implications of the zero lower bound (ZLB) on nominal interest rates. I plan to challenge the emerging consensus that a binding ZLB provide a good explanation for poor macroeconomic performance since the crisis. My research will test several restrictions common to ZLB models. The aim is to apply this analysis to fiscal policy; including debate about the size of spending multipliers and the desirability of austerity and fiscal stimulus measures. I feel my research could have powerful implications for public policy; as well as how we model macroeconomic fluctuations in good times and bad.